FC Porto vs Manchester City
08/09, 19:00
Odds Betclic
Apenas Betclic, sem fallback para outro bookmaker — uma lista vazia significa que a Betclic nunca cotou este mercado.
Modelos
Consenso & Fiabilidade
Safe Value / Top Pick / Watchlist
Contexto de Equipa
- home: Team 81 (FC Porto) has no finished matches before 2026-09-08 19:00:00+00:00.
FC Porto
Contexto indisponível para esta equipa.
Manchester City
PPG (atual)
0.75
PPG (histórico)
2.17
Forma recente
46.4
Forma (casa/fora)
50.0 / 0.0
Dias de descanso
174
Amostra (atual/hist.)
4 / 6
Context Score*
49.4
Data Quality
70%
* Context Score é um sinal composto (forma, ataque, defesa, continuidade de plantel), não uma probabilidade nem um fator causal isolado.
Jogadores
FC Porto
| Jogador | Pos. | Jogos | Titular | Min. | Golos | Remates | SOT | Min. Esp. | Disponibilidade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | Goalkeeper | 38 | 37 | 3267 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86' | unknown |
| Victor Froholdt | Midfielder | 38 | 36 | 3235 | 6 | 29 | 14 | 85' | unknown |
| Jan Bednarek | Defender | 36 | 35 | 3003 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 83' | unknown |
| Jakub Kiwior | Defender | 32 | 30 | 2577 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 81' | unknown |
| Pepê | Attacker | 36 | 34 | 2572 | 3 | 26 | 7 | 71' | unknown |
| Alberto Costa | Defender | 34 | 27 | 2423 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 71' | unknown |
| Alan Varela | Midfielder | 34 | 28 | 2387 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 70' | unknown |
| Gabri Veiga | Midfielder | 36 | 24 | 1933 | 6 | 38 | 17 | 54' | unknown |
| Borja Sainz | Attacker | 36 | 18 | 1703 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 47' | unknown |
| Pablo Rosario | Midfielder | 34 | 15 | 1666 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 49' | unknown |
| William Gomes | Attacker | 35 | 13 | 1428 | 9 | 37 | 23 | 41' | unknown |
| Samu Aghehowa | N/A | 20 | 19 | 1414 | 12 | 43 | 32 | 71' | unknown |
| Francisco Moura | Defender | 35 | 16 | 1331 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 38' | unknown |
| Zaidu Sanusi | Defender | 22 | 15 | 1283 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 58' | unknown |
| Deniz Gül | Attacker | 37 | 13 | 1271 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 34' | unknown |
Manchester City
| Jogador | Pos. | Jogos | Titular | Min. | Golos | Remates | SOT | Min. Esp. | Disponibilidade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | Goalkeeper | 36 | 36 | 3240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90' | unknown |
| Erling Haaland | Attacker | 38 | 36 | 3138 | 29 | 111 | 64 | 83' | unknown |
| M. Nunes | Midfielder | 38 | 32 | 2898 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 76' | unknown |
| Bernardo Silva | N/A | 38 | 34 | 2890 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 76' | unknown |
| Nico O'Reilly | Midfielder | 37 | 31 | 2800 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 76' | unknown |
| Rúben Dias | Defender | 32 | 26 | 2329 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 73' | unknown |
| Phil Foden | Midfielder | 38 | 25 | 2279 | 7 | 38 | 19 | 60' | unknown |
| Rayan Cherki | Midfielder | 36 | 20 | 1903 | 6 | 35 | 16 | 53' | unknown |
| J. Doku | Attacker | 31 | 19 | 1784 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 58' | unknown |
| Tijjani Reijnders | N/A | 38 | 19 | 1640 | 5 | 36 | 16 | 43' | unknown |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | Defender | 32 | 17 | 1608 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 50' | unknown |
| Antoine Semenyo | Attacker | 19 | 19 | 1582 | 7 | 29 | 16 | 83' | unknown |
| Joško Gvardiol | Defender | 22 | 18 | 1539 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 70' | unknown |
| Marc Guéhi | Defender | 17 | 17 | 1530 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 90' | unknown |
| Rodri | N/A | 22 | 17 | 1513 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 69' | unknown |
Player Props
EXPERIMENTALA calcular Player Props (walk-forward de participação — pode demorar até ~25s neste jogo)…
Multi-Market
EXPERIMENTALCorners, Cartões, Remates — nunca exposto como Value Bet.
corners_total
Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Baseline recomendado
| Linha | Seleção | Prob. | Fair Odds | Fiável |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | Over | 52.5% | 1.90 | ✅ |
| 8.5 | Under | 47.5% | 2.11 | ✅ |
| 9.5 | Over | 42.7% | 2.34 | ✅ |
| 9.5 | Under | 57.3% | 1.74 | ✅ |
| 10.5 | Over | 33.7% | 2.97 | ✅ |
| 10.5 | Under | 66.3% | 1.51 | ✅ |
cards_total
Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: poisson) · Baseline recomendado
| Linha | Seleção | Prob. | Fair Odds | Fiável |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Over | 47.2% | 2.12 | ✅ |
| 3.5 | Under | 52.8% | 1.90 | ✅ |
| 4.5 | Over | 28.2% | 3.54 | ✅ |
| 4.5 | Under | 71.8% | 1.39 | ✅ |
| 5.5 | Over | 14.8% | 6.76 | ✅ |
| 5.5 | Under | 85.2% | 1.17 | ✅ |
home_team_shots
Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)
| Linha | Seleção | Prob. | Fair Odds | Fiável |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Over | 74.1% | 1.35 | ✅ |
| 7.5 | Under | 25.9% | 3.87 | ✅ |
| 8.5 | Over | 66.4% | 1.51 | ✅ |
| 8.5 | Under | 33.6% | 2.97 | ✅ |
| 9.5 | Over | 58.3% | 1.72 | ✅ |
| 9.5 | Under | 41.7% | 2.40 | ✅ |
| 10.5 | Over | 50.4% | 1.99 | ✅ |
| 10.5 | Under | 49.6% | 2.02 | ✅ |
| 11.5 | Over | 42.8% | 2.34 | ✅ |
| 11.5 | Under | 57.2% | 1.75 | ✅ |
| 12.5 | Over | 35.8% | 2.79 | ✅ |
| 12.5 | Under | 64.2% | 1.56 | ✅ |
| 13.5 | Over | 29.5% | 3.39 | ✅ |
| 13.5 | Under | 70.5% | 1.42 | ✅ |
| 14.5 | Over | 24.0% | 4.17 | ✅ |
| 14.5 | Under | 76.0% | 1.32 | ✅ |
away_team_shots
Modelo recomendado: count (usado: negative_binomial) · Count recomendado
| Linha | Seleção | Prob. | Fair Odds | Fiável |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Over | 83.3% | 1.20 | ✅ |
| 7.5 | Under | 16.7% | 5.98 | ✅ |
| 8.5 | Over | 77.3% | 1.29 | ✅ |
| 8.5 | Under | 22.7% | 4.41 | ✅ |
| 9.5 | Over | 70.8% | 1.41 | ✅ |
| 9.5 | Under | 29.2% | 3.42 | ✅ |
| 10.5 | Over | 63.8% | 1.57 | ✅ |
| 10.5 | Under | 36.2% | 2.77 | ✅ |
| 11.5 | Over | 56.8% | 1.76 | ✅ |
| 11.5 | Under | 43.2% | 2.31 | ✅ |
| 12.5 | Over | 49.9% | 2.00 | ✅ |
| 12.5 | Under | 50.1% | 2.00 | ✅ |
| 13.5 | Over | 43.3% | 2.31 | ✅ |
| 13.5 | Under | 56.7% | 1.76 | ✅ |
| 14.5 | Over | 37.1% | 2.70 | ✅ |
| 14.5 | Under | 62.9% | 1.59 | ✅ |
home_team_shots_on_target
Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)
| Linha | Seleção | Prob. | Fair Odds | Fiável |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Over | 70.2% | 1.43 | ✅ |
| 2.5 | Under | 29.8% | 3.35 | ✅ |
| 3.5 | Over | 53.6% | 1.86 | ✅ |
| 3.5 | Under | 46.4% | 2.16 | ✅ |
| 4.5 | Over | 38.5% | 2.60 | ✅ |
| 4.5 | Under | 61.5% | 1.63 | ✅ |
| 5.5 | Over | 26.1% | 3.83 | ✅ |
| 5.5 | Under | 73.9% | 1.35 | ✅ |
| 6.5 | Over | 16.9% | 5.92 | ✅ |
| 6.5 | Under | 83.1% | 1.20 | ✅ |
away_team_shots_on_target
Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)
| Linha | Seleção | Prob. | Fair Odds | Fiável |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Over | 85.5% | 1.17 | ✅ |
| 2.5 | Under | 14.5% | 6.90 | ✅ |
| 3.5 | Over | 74.4% | 1.34 | ✅ |
| 3.5 | Under | 25.6% | 3.91 | ✅ |
| 4.5 | Over | 61.9% | 1.61 | ✅ |
| 4.5 | Under | 38.1% | 2.63 | ✅ |
| 5.5 | Over | 49.4% | 2.02 | ✅ |
| 5.5 | Under | 50.6% | 1.98 | ✅ |
| 6.5 | Over | 38.0% | 2.63 | ✅ |
| 6.5 | Under | 62.0% | 1.61 | ✅ |