UEFA Champions League· World

AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz

Agendado

08/09, 16:45

Odds Betclic

Apenas Betclic, sem fallback para outro bookmaker — uma lista vazia significa que a Betclic nunca cotou este mercado.

Sem odds Betclic disponíveis para este jogo.

Modelos

Modelo	Mercado	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	EV	Criado	Estado
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	1X2	Fora	0.0%	1000000.00	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	1X2	Empate	0.0%	1000000.00	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	1X2	Casa	100.0%	1.00	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Ambas Marcam	Não	95.1%	1.05	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Ambas Marcam	Sim	4.9%	20.50	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Over/Under 2.5	Over	100.0%	1.00	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Over/Under 2.5	Under	0.0%	1000000.00	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH

Consenso & Fiabilidade

Mercado	Modelo	Prob.	Consenso	Poisson/DC	Disagreement	Fiável	Amostra (casa/fora)
1X2 Fora	dixon_coles	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	2 / 2 home team has 2 finished match(es), away team has 2 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet) probability 0.000001 is extreme and not well-supported (insufficient per-team sample or a degenerate model fit) — likely a modelling artefact from too little data, not a genuinely near-certain outcome
1X2 Empate	dixon_coles	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	2 / 2 home team has 2 finished match(es), away team has 2 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet) probability 0.000001 is extreme and not well-supported (insufficient per-team sample or a degenerate model fit) — likely a modelling artefact from too little data, not a genuinely near-certain outcome
1X2 Casa	dixon_coles	100.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	2 / 2 home team has 2 finished match(es), away team has 2 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet) probability 0.999999 is extreme and not well-supported (insufficient per-team sample or a degenerate model fit) — likely a modelling artefact from too little data, not a genuinely near-certain outcome
Ambas Marcam Não	dixon_coles	95.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	2 / 2 home team has 2 finished match(es), away team has 2 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet) probability 0.951229 is extreme and not well-supported (insufficient per-team sample or a degenerate model fit) — likely a modelling artefact from too little data, not a genuinely near-certain outcome
Ambas Marcam Sim	dixon_coles	4.9%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	2 / 2 home team has 2 finished match(es), away team has 2 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet) probability 0.048771 is extreme and not well-supported (insufficient per-team sample or a degenerate model fit) — likely a modelling artefact from too little data, not a genuinely near-certain outcome
Over/Under 2.5 Over	dixon_coles	100.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	2 / 2 home team has 2 finished match(es), away team has 2 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet) probability 0.999999 is extreme and not well-supported (insufficient per-team sample or a degenerate model fit) — likely a modelling artefact from too little data, not a genuinely near-certain outcome
Over/Under 2.5 Under	dixon_coles	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	2 / 2 home team has 2 finished match(es), away team has 2 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet) probability 0.000001 is extreme and not well-supported (insufficient per-team sample or a degenerate model fit) — likely a modelling artefact from too little data, not a genuinely near-certain outcome

Safe Value / Top Pick / Watchlist

Nenhuma seleção com odds Betclic suficientes para classificação Safe Value / Top Pick neste jogo.

Contexto de Equipa

AEK Athens FC

PPG (atual)

2.00

PPG (histórico)

N/A

Forma recente

66.7

Forma (casa/fora)

100.0 / 33.3

Dias de descanso

Amostra (atual/hist.)

2 / 0

Context Score*

81.1

Data Quality

35%

availability unavailable — no injury/suspension data synced for this team
availability: no squad synced for this team

Lask Linz

PPG (atual)

1.50

PPG (histórico)

N/A

Forma recente

50.0

Forma (casa/fora)

100.0 / 0.0

Dias de descanso

Amostra (atual/hist.)

2 / 0

Context Score*

53.5

Data Quality

10%

squad continuity unavailable — no transfer/player-minutes data synced for this team
availability unavailable — no injury/suspension data synced for this team
squad continuity: no transfer data synced for this team
availability: no squad synced for this team

* Context Score é um sinal composto (forma, ataque, defesa, continuidade de plantel), não uma probabilidade nem um fator causal isolado.

Jogadores

AEK Athens FC

Sem jogadores conhecidos para esta equipa.

Lask Linz

Sem jogadores conhecidos para esta equipa.

Player Props

EXPERIMENTAL

Nunca mostrado como Value Bet (sem EV) · ODDS_READY=false · PUBLICATION_READY=false

Sem Player Props disponíveis para este jogo.

A calcular Player Props (walk-forward de participação — pode demorar até ~25s neste jogo)…

Multi-Market

EXPERIMENTAL

Corners, Cartões, Remates — nunca exposto como Value Bet.

corners_total

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Baseline recomendado

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
8.5	Over	55.6%	1.80	✅
8.5	Under	44.4%	2.25	✅
9.5	Over	45.8%	2.18	✅
9.5	Under	54.2%	1.85	✅
10.5	Over	36.7%	2.72	✅
10.5	Under	63.3%	1.58	✅

cards_total

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: poisson) · Baseline recomendado

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
3.5	Over	53.7%	1.86	✅
3.5	Under	46.3%	2.16	✅
4.5	Over	34.2%	2.92	✅
4.5	Under	65.8%	1.52	✅
5.5	Over	19.2%	5.21	✅
5.5	Under	80.8%	1.24	✅

home_team_shots

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
7.5	Over	89.8%	1.11	✅
7.5	Under	10.2%	9.83	✅
8.5	Over	85.7%	1.17	✅
8.5	Under	14.3%	7.01	✅
9.5	Over	81.0%	1.24	✅
9.5	Under	19.0%	5.25	✅
10.5	Over	75.6%	1.32	✅
10.5	Under	24.4%	4.10	✅
11.5	Over	69.8%	1.43	✅
11.5	Under	30.1%	3.32	✅
12.5	Over	63.8%	1.57	✅
12.5	Under	36.2%	2.77	✅
13.5	Over	57.7%	1.73	✅
13.5	Under	42.3%	2.37	✅
14.5	Over	51.7%	1.94	✅
14.5	Under	48.3%	2.07	✅

away_team_shots

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: count (usado: negative_binomial) · Count recomendado

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
7.5	Over	76.5%	1.31	✅
7.5	Under	23.5%	4.25	✅
8.5	Over	69.1%	1.45	✅
8.5	Under	30.9%	3.24	✅
9.5	Over	61.4%	1.63	✅
9.5	Under	38.6%	2.59	✅
10.5	Over	53.6%	1.87	✅
10.5	Under	46.4%	2.15	✅
11.5	Over	46.1%	2.17	✅
11.5	Under	53.9%	1.85	✅
12.5	Over	39.0%	2.56	✅
12.5	Under	61.0%	1.64	✅
13.5	Over	32.6%	3.07	✅
13.5	Under	67.5%	1.48	✅
14.5	Over	26.8%	3.73	✅
14.5	Under	73.2%	1.37	✅

home_team_shots_on_target

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
2.5	Over	85.0%	1.18	✅
2.5	Under	14.9%	6.69	✅
3.5	Over	73.7%	1.36	✅
3.5	Under	26.3%	3.81	✅
4.5	Over	61.0%	1.64	✅
4.5	Under	39.0%	2.57	✅
5.5	Over	48.5%	2.06	✅
5.5	Under	51.5%	1.94	✅
6.5	Over	37.1%	2.70	✅
6.5	Under	62.9%	1.59	✅

away_team_shots_on_target

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
2.5	Over	75.0%	1.33	✅
2.5	Under	25.0%	4.00	✅
3.5	Over	59.7%	1.68	✅
3.5	Under	40.3%	2.48	✅
4.5	Over	44.8%	2.23	✅
4.5	Under	55.2%	1.81	✅
5.5	Over	31.9%	3.13	✅
5.5	Under	68.0%	1.47	✅
6.5	Over	21.8%	4.59	✅
6.5	Under	78.2%	1.28	✅