Süper Lig· Turkey

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK

Agendado

12/09, 14:00

Odds Betclic

Apenas Betclic, sem fallback para outro bookmaker — uma lista vazia significa que a Betclic nunca cotou este mercado.

Sem odds Betclic disponíveis para este jogo.

Modelos

Modelo	Mercado	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	EV	Criado	Estado
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	1X2	Fora	27.6%	3.63	—	06/09, 22:57	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	1X2	Empate	22.1%	4.52	—	06/09, 22:57	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	1X2	Casa	50.3%	1.99	—	06/09, 22:57	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Ambas Marcam	Não	26.0%	3.85	—	06/09, 22:57	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Ambas Marcam	Sim	74.0%	1.35	—	06/09, 22:57	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Over/Under 2.5	Over	75.5%	1.32	—	06/09, 22:57	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Over/Under 2.5	Under	24.5%	4.08	—	06/09, 22:57	FRESH

Consenso & Fiabilidade

Mercado	Modelo	Prob.	Consenso	Poisson/DC	Disagreement	Fiável	Amostra (casa/fora)
1X2 Fora	dixon_coles	27.6%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	38 / 4 home team has 38 finished match(es), away team has 4 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
1X2 Empate	dixon_coles	22.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	38 / 4 home team has 38 finished match(es), away team has 4 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
1X2 Casa	dixon_coles	50.3%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	38 / 4 home team has 38 finished match(es), away team has 4 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
Ambas Marcam Não	dixon_coles	26.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	38 / 4 home team has 38 finished match(es), away team has 4 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
Ambas Marcam Sim	dixon_coles	74.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	38 / 4 home team has 38 finished match(es), away team has 4 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
Over/Under 2.5 Over	dixon_coles	75.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	38 / 4 home team has 38 finished match(es), away team has 4 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
Over/Under 2.5 Under	dixon_coles	24.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	38 / 4 home team has 38 finished match(es), away team has 4 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)

Safe Value / Top Pick / Watchlist

Nenhuma seleção com odds Betclic suficientes para classificação Safe Value / Top Pick neste jogo.

Contexto de Equipa

Samsunspor

PPG (atual)

1.43

PPG (histórico)

1.47

Forma recente

47.8

Forma (casa/fora)

53.3 / 42.4

Dias de descanso

Amostra (atual/hist.)

21 / 17

Context Score*

53.8

Data Quality

75%

availability unavailable — no injury/suspension data synced for this team
availability: no squad synced for this team

Çorum FK

PPG (atual)

1.00

PPG (histórico)

N/A

Forma recente

33.3

Forma (casa/fora)

50.0 / 16.7

Dias de descanso

Amostra (atual/hist.)

4 / 0

Context Score*

37.8

Data Quality

20%

squad continuity unavailable — no transfer/player-minutes data synced for this team
availability unavailable — no injury/suspension data synced for this team
squad continuity: no transfer data synced for this team
availability: no squad synced for this team

* Context Score é um sinal composto (forma, ataque, defesa, continuidade de plantel), não uma probabilidade nem um fator causal isolado.

Jogadores

Samsunspor

Sem jogadores conhecidos para esta equipa.

Çorum FK

Sem jogadores conhecidos para esta equipa.

Player Props

EXPERIMENTAL

Nunca mostrado como Value Bet (sem EV) · ODDS_READY=false · PUBLICATION_READY=false

Sem Player Props disponíveis para este jogo.

A calcular Player Props (walk-forward de participação — pode demorar até ~25s neste jogo)…

Multi-Market

EXPERIMENTAL

Corners, Cartões, Remates — nunca exposto como Value Bet.

corners_total

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Baseline recomendado

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
8.5	Over	63.6%	1.57	✅
8.5	Under	36.4%	2.75	✅
9.5	Over	53.8%	1.86	✅
9.5	Under	46.2%	2.17	✅
10.5	Over	44.3%	2.26	✅
10.5	Under	55.8%	1.79	✅

cards_total

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: poisson) · Baseline recomendado

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
3.5	Over	43.4%	2.30	⚠️
3.5	Under	56.6%	1.77	⚠️
4.5	Over	24.9%	4.01	⚠️
4.5	Under	75.0%	1.33	⚠️
5.5	Over	12.5%	7.99	✅
5.5	Under	87.5%	1.14	✅

home_team_shots

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
7.5	Over	96.1%	1.04	⚠️
7.5	Under	3.9%	25.53	⚠️
8.5	Over	94.6%	1.06	⚠️
8.5	Under	5.4%	18.43	⚠️
9.5	Over	92.5%	1.08	⚠️
9.5	Under	7.4%	13.42	⚠️
10.5	Over	90.0%	1.11	✅
10.5	Under	10.0%	9.97	✅
11.5	Over	86.8%	1.15	✅
11.5	Under	13.2%	7.58	✅
12.5	Over	83.1%	1.20	✅
12.5	Under	16.9%	5.92	✅
13.5	Over	78.9%	1.27	⚠️
13.5	Under	21.1%	4.75	⚠️
14.5	Over	74.3%	1.35	⚠️
14.5	Under	25.7%	3.89	⚠️

away_team_shots

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: count (usado: negative_binomial) · Count recomendado

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
7.5	Over	79.1%	1.26	✅
7.5	Under	20.9%	4.78	✅
8.5	Over	71.5%	1.40	✅
8.5	Under	28.5%	3.51	✅
9.5	Over	63.4%	1.58	✅
9.5	Under	36.6%	2.73	✅
10.5	Over	55.1%	1.81	✅
10.5	Under	44.9%	2.23	✅
11.5	Over	46.9%	2.13	✅
11.5	Under	53.0%	1.89	✅
12.5	Over	39.3%	2.55	✅
12.5	Under	60.7%	1.65	✅
13.5	Over	32.3%	3.10	✅
13.5	Under	67.7%	1.48	✅
14.5	Over	26.1%	3.83	✅
14.5	Under	73.9%	1.35	✅

home_team_shots_on_target

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
2.5	Over	88.8%	1.13	✅
2.5	Under	11.2%	8.93	✅
3.5	Over	78.8%	1.27	✅
3.5	Under	21.2%	4.71	✅
4.5	Over	66.7%	1.50	✅
4.5	Under	33.3%	3.00	✅
5.5	Over	53.9%	1.86	✅
5.5	Under	46.1%	2.17	✅
6.5	Over	41.8%	2.40	✅
6.5	Under	58.3%	1.72	✅

away_team_shots_on_target

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
2.5	Over	36.4%	2.75	⚠️
2.5	Under	63.6%	1.57	⚠️
3.5	Over	19.2%	5.21	✅
3.5	Under	80.8%	1.24	✅
4.5	Over	9.1%	10.95	✅
4.5	Under	90.9%	1.10	✅
5.5	Over	4.0%	25.02	⚠️
5.5	Under	96.0%	1.04	⚠️
6.5	Over	1.6%	61.25	⚠️
6.5	Under	98.4%	1.02	⚠️