Ligue 1· France

Le Mans vs Lens

Agendado

13/09, 15:15

Odds Betclic

Apenas Betclic, sem fallback para outro bookmaker — uma lista vazia significa que a Betclic nunca cotou este mercado.

Sem odds Betclic disponíveis para este jogo.

Modelos

Modelo	Mercado	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	EV	Criado	Estado
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	1X2	Fora	60.7%	1.65	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	1X2	Empate	19.6%	5.09	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	1X2	Casa	19.7%	5.08	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Ambas Marcam	Não	31.8%	3.14	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Ambas Marcam	Sim	68.2%	1.47	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Over/Under 2.5	Over	72.9%	1.37	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH
dixon_coles OPERATIONAL	Over/Under 2.5	Under	27.1%	3.69	—	06/09, 21:56	FRESH

Consenso & Fiabilidade

Mercado	Modelo	Prob.	Consenso	Poisson/DC	Disagreement	Fiável	Amostra (casa/fora)
1X2 Fora	dixon_coles	60.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	3 / 37 home team has 3 finished match(es), away team has 37 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
1X2 Empate	dixon_coles	19.6%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	3 / 37 home team has 3 finished match(es), away team has 37 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
1X2 Casa	dixon_coles	19.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	3 / 37 home team has 3 finished match(es), away team has 37 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
Ambas Marcam Não	dixon_coles	31.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	3 / 37 home team has 3 finished match(es), away team has 37 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
Ambas Marcam Sim	dixon_coles	68.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	3 / 37 home team has 3 finished match(es), away team has 37 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
Over/Under 2.5 Over	dixon_coles	72.9%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	3 / 37 home team has 3 finished match(es), away team has 37 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)
Over/Under 2.5 Under	dixon_coles	27.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A	⚠️	3 / 37 home team has 3 finished match(es), away team has 37 (minimum 8 each required for a real Value Bet)

Safe Value / Top Pick / Watchlist

Nenhuma seleção com odds Betclic suficientes para classificação Safe Value / Top Pick neste jogo.

Contexto de Equipa

Le Mans

PPG (atual)

0.67

PPG (histórico)

N/A

Forma recente

22.2

Forma (casa/fora)

33.3 / 16.7

Dias de descanso

Amostra (atual/hist.)

3 / 0

Context Score*

37.5

Data Quality

40%

availability unavailable — no injury/suspension data synced for this team
availability: no squad synced for this team

Lens

PPG (atual)

1.65

PPG (histórico)

2.35

Forma recente

58.1

Forma (casa/fora)

72.7 / 33.3

Dias de descanso

Amostra (atual/hist.)

20 / 17

Context Score*

63.3

Data Quality

75%

availability unavailable — no injury/suspension data synced for this team
availability: no squad synced for this team

* Context Score é um sinal composto (forma, ataque, defesa, continuidade de plantel), não uma probabilidade nem um fator causal isolado.

Jogadores

Le Mans

Sem jogadores conhecidos para esta equipa.

Lens

Sem jogadores conhecidos para esta equipa.

Player Props

EXPERIMENTAL

Nunca mostrado como Value Bet (sem EV) · ODDS_READY=false · PUBLICATION_READY=false

Sem Player Props disponíveis para este jogo.

A calcular Player Props (walk-forward de participação — pode demorar até ~25s neste jogo)…

Multi-Market

EXPERIMENTAL

Corners, Cartões, Remates — nunca exposto como Value Bet.

corners_total

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Baseline recomendado

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
8.5	Over	83.3%	1.20	✅
8.5	Under	16.7%	5.98	✅
9.5	Over	77.2%	1.29	✅
9.5	Under	22.8%	4.39	✅
10.5	Over	70.5%	1.42	⚠️
10.5	Under	29.5%	3.39	⚠️

cards_total

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: poisson) · Baseline recomendado

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
3.5	Over	61.2%	1.64	✅
3.5	Under	38.8%	2.58	✅
4.5	Over	41.8%	2.40	✅
4.5	Under	58.2%	1.72	✅
5.5	Over	25.3%	3.95	✅
5.5	Under	74.7%	1.34	✅

home_team_shots

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
7.5	Over	70.6%	1.42	✅
7.5	Under	29.4%	3.40	✅
8.5	Over	61.9%	1.62	✅
8.5	Under	38.1%	2.62	✅
9.5	Over	53.0%	1.89	✅
9.5	Under	47.0%	2.13	✅
10.5	Over	44.4%	2.25	✅
10.5	Under	55.6%	1.80	✅
11.5	Over	36.5%	2.74	✅
11.5	Under	63.5%	1.57	✅
12.5	Over	29.4%	3.40	✅
12.5	Under	70.6%	1.42	✅
13.5	Over	23.3%	4.29	✅
13.5	Under	76.7%	1.30	✅
14.5	Over	18.2%	5.51	✅
14.5	Under	81.8%	1.22	✅

away_team_shots

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: count (usado: negative_binomial) · Count recomendado

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
7.5	Over	86.4%	1.16	✅
7.5	Under	13.6%	7.35	✅
8.5	Over	86.0%	1.16	✅
8.5	Under	14.0%	7.14	✅
9.5	Over	85.5%	1.17	✅
9.5	Under	14.5%	6.87	✅
10.5	Over	84.7%	1.18	✅
10.5	Under	15.3%	6.53	✅
11.5	Over	83.7%	1.20	✅
11.5	Under	16.3%	6.13	✅
12.5	Over	82.4%	1.21	✅
12.5	Under	17.6%	5.69	✅
13.5	Over	80.9%	1.24	✅
13.5	Under	19.1%	5.23	✅
14.5	Over	79.0%	1.27	✅
14.5	Under	21.0%	4.76	✅

home_team_shots_on_target

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
2.5	Over	80.1%	1.25	✅
2.5	Under	19.9%	5.04	✅
3.5	Over	65.2%	1.53	✅
3.5	Under	34.8%	2.87	✅
4.5	Over	49.4%	2.02	✅
4.5	Under	50.6%	1.98	✅
5.5	Over	35.1%	2.85	✅
5.5	Under	64.9%	1.54	✅
6.5	Over	23.5%	4.25	✅
6.5	Under	76.5%	1.31	✅

away_team_shots_on_target

EXPERIMENTALODDS UNAVAILABLE

Modelo recomendado: baseline (usado: negative_binomial) · Experimental (inconclusivo)

Linha	Seleção	Prob.	Fair Odds	Fiável
2.5	Over	97.1%	1.03	⚠️
2.5	Under	2.9%	34.58	⚠️
3.5	Over	93.3%	1.07	⚠️
3.5	Under	6.7%	14.97	⚠️
4.5	Over	87.5%	1.14	✅
4.5	Under	12.5%	7.97	✅
5.5	Over	79.6%	1.26	✅
5.5	Under	20.4%	4.91	✅
6.5	Over	70.4%	1.42	⚠️
6.5	Under	29.6%	3.37	⚠️